It’s crystal clear now that Trump has lost control of this war. He badly misjudged Iran’s ability to retaliate. The region is on fire.
— Chris Murphy 🟧 (@ChrisMurphyCT) March 14, 2026
1/ I’m going to explain to you in this🧵what I’ve learned - in part from closed door briefings - about the four biggest current crises.
2/ Right now, Trump has no plan to reopen the Strait. And a plan may not exist.
— Chris Murphy 🟧 (@ChrisMurphyCT) March 14, 2026
The assets Iran uses to harass and attack tankers - thousands of small drones, speed boats and mines - cannot be eliminated. They are too numerous, too spread out and hidden. https://t.co/P9fpKUnjol
4/ CRISIS TWO: We can destroy Iran’s missiles but not all their drones, and war today is drone war.
— Chris Murphy 🟧 (@ChrisMurphyCT) March 14, 2026
Iran can hit oil sites in the region indefinitely because they posses so many cheap, weaponized drones.
And they are. They blew up a critical Oman oil depot two days ago. pic.twitter.com/hSy6eafbaV
6/ CRISIS THREE: A broader, regional war is breaking out as Iranian proxies in Lebanon hit Israel and those in Iraq target the U.S.. Israel is now threatening a massive ground invasion of Lebanon, which could become its own new crisis. https://t.co/KQvJX6OIcg
— Chris Murphy 🟧 (@ChrisMurphyCT) March 14, 2026
8/ CRISIS FOUR: Trump has no endgame. Iran and its proxies can create chaos indefinitely.
— Chris Murphy 🟧 (@ChrisMurphyCT) March 14, 2026
So what’s next? A ground invasion?This would be Armageddon. Thousands of dead Americans.
Declare false victory? Then the new Iranian hardliners in charge just rebuild what we destroyed.
9/ All of this was totally foreseeable. Frankly, it’s why previous presidents weren’t so stupid to start a war like this.
— Chris Murphy 🟧 (@ChrisMurphyCT) March 14, 2026
Trump has lost control of the war. His best course now is to cut his losses and end it. That’s the only way to prevent an even bigger disaster.
https://x.com/ChrisMurphyCT/status/2032803960239595562
